Sweden is expected to see a marked slowdown in wind power expansion beyond 2027, according to new data from industry group Green Power Sweden, raising concerns over how the country will meet rising electricity demand in the coming decade.
No new wind turbine orders were placed in the second quarter of 2025, extending a downward trend that began in 2024. While around 2 gigawatts (GW) of wind capacity is currently under construction and set to come online by 2027, the report warns of a steep drop-off in new projects beyond that period.
“We see a significantly reduced wind power expansion after 2027,” said Anton Johansson, head of analysis and marketing at Green Power Sweden. “This is worrying because it is wind power and solar power, in combination with energy storage, that can meet the increasing electricity demand in Sweden until 2035.”
Swedish industrial electricity demand is forecast to increase by between 66 and 81 terawatt hours (TWh) by 2035, according to SKGS, a coalition representing Sweden’s energy-intensive industries.
The report attributes the current investment standstill to several factors, including price volatility, political uncertainty, rising development costs, and delays in grid connections. It also notes that much of the current construction activity stems from investment decisions made in 2021 and 2022.
Only two new wind farm permits were issued in 2024—one onshore and one offshore. Green Power Sweden said obstacles such as municipal vetoes and military land use objections continue to hinder project approvals.
The environmental permits granted today are for projects that have the potential to start delivering electricity in the early 2030s,” Johansson said. “One might wonder where the increased supply of electricity that industry demands will come from when we simultaneously see that investment decisions for already licensed projects are stalling.
Johansson called for “powerful political measures” to stabilise investment conditions and support future capacity growth.
Green Power Sweden’s market statistics are compiled from project developers, turbine manufacturers, and public sources. The organisation plans to expand its reporting to include large-scale solar and storage developments, which it said will play a growing role in meeting national energy needs through 2035.
